Here is your forecast for Thursday July 11th, 2024.
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coast continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms across Florida, including right here in SWFL.
This system has not become any better organized today, and environmental conditions do not appear favorable for development before it moves inland over the southeastern U.S. by this weekend. Looking ahead to the weekend, as that trough of low pressure pulls north towards the Carolinas, our winds in SWFL will shift and become easterly, triggering a pattern change.
Based upon Thursday evening's data, it looks like winds on Saturday will still be westerly. If that's the case, we'll start off with isolated storms at the coast and finish with scattered storms, especially inland. Rain chances stay elevated at 60-70%, but with more clouds and the potential for morning coastal rain, high temperatures will run in the lower 90s with a heat index around 101°.
Once that trough of low pressure pulls north towards the Carolinas, our winds will shift out and become easterly by Sunday. That pattern sets us up for morning sunshine and afternoon storms. High temperatures on Sunday will be a few degrees hotter in the mid-90s and a heat index closer to 105° before storms fire up.
FOX 4 EVENING METEOROLOGIST KATIE WALLS
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