Tropical Storm Beryl officially formed in the Atlantic at 11pm Friday night. It is expected to strengthen and be a major hurricane when it reaches the Windward Islands late Sunday night into Monday, bringing a risk of heavy rain, hurricane-force winds and dangerous storm surge and waves.
Beryl is currently the strongest June storm east of 47°W longitude.
It is too early to know if or what kind of impacts it may have on the United States. Here are the forecast models through next week, taking it into the western Caribbean.
OTHER TROPICAL DISTURBANCES
1. Western Caribbean/ Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the Bay of Campeche tonight or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally conducive for further development. A tropical depression could form before the system moves inland again early next week over Mexico.
Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will continue affect portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
To the east of Hurricane Beryl, an area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
YOUR SWFL WEEKEND FORECAST
This weekend, the winds will be out of the east. This is a stormy weather pattern for us. We will start each day with sunshine pushing our afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s and heat index values feeling between 100-105°. Then, showers and storms arrive late afternoon and into the evening. The rain chance over the weekend will be in between 60-70%. Heavy downpours and lightning will remain our main concerns.
BOATING PLANS THIS WEEKEND? Expect morning sunshine and afternoon storms. Winds will be fairly light with minimal chop. #flwx pic.twitter.com/k82pGk3MKV
— Katie Walls (@KatieWallsTV) June 28, 2024
This high chance of afternoon showers and storms will last through the early parts of next week as well.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ANDREW SHIPLEY
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