Here's your Monday check on the tropics.
Your Fox 4 Weather Team and the National Hurricane Center are monitoring an area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. It is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next several days.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for some development thereafter. A tropical depression could form mid to late week, when the system is near or over the northern Leeward Islands, Greater Antilles, or Bahamas. The likelihood of formation is now moderate at 50%.
Due to this potential storm only being an open tropical wave in the middle of the Atlantic, wrapped in dusty, dry air, confidence is very low on where this goes or if it even forms...the strength of the Bermuda High will also be a factor. This is why it is far too early to know if or where this wave may impact the U.S. Be weary of any model or "forecast" on social media that you see beyond 7-days.
If we do see any direct or indirect impacts, it wouldn't be until this weekend.
If the depression becomes a tropical storm, then it will be named "Debby".
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ANDREW SHIPLEY
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