8 AM UPDATE 6/30/21
No major changes at 8AM as the chances of Invest 95L developing continue to remain low in the days ahead.
Formation chance through 48 hours is low at 10 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days is low at 10 percent.
FOX 4 MORNING METEOROLOGIST TRENT ARIC
2AM UPDATE 6/30/21
The chances for development of Invest 95L are becoming slimmer as it moves quickly westward at 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Lesser Antilles today and then across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea later this week.
Formation chance through 48 hours is low at 10 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days is low at 10 percent.
FOX 4 MORNING METEOROLOGIST TRENT ARIC
UPDATE 6/29/21 2 PM
Chances for development remain low with Invest 95L as it approaches the Lesser Antilles by Wednesday. The system is not expected to organize into anything significant due to the aforemented factors noted in my update on 6/28. Long-range forecast models are not bullish on developing the system.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
8AM UPDATE 6/29/21
No major changes with Invest 95L with the 8AM Tropical Weather Outlook from the National Hurricane Center. Formation chances remain unchanged.
Formation chance through 48 hours is low at 30 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days is medium at 40 percent.
FOX 4 MORNING METEOROLOGIST TRENT ARIC
2AM UPDATE 6/29/21
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms in association with a tropical wave located about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Some slow development of this disturbance is possible later this week and this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, likely reaching the Lesser Antilles by Wednesday night.
Formation chance through 48 hours is low at 30 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days is medium at 40 percent.
FOX 4 MORNING METEOROLOGIST TRENT ARIC
FIRST UPDATE 6/28/21 8 AM
NHC is monitoring a tropical wave in the Atlantic with a MEDIUM chance for development in 5 days. The tropical wave is southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and has a reasonable chance at further development as it moves west across the Atlantic. It is expected to reach the Lesser Antilles by mid to late week. Further development after this is unlikely due to land interaction and increasing wind shear and the potential for dry air entrainment.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
