UPDATE 7/10/2020 5 PM
Fay is headed north. Dry air continues to filter into the system shutting down most of the rain. The storm will cross into Canada by Saturday afternoon as a depression.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 7/10/2020 5 PM
Fay made landfall near Atlantic City NJ this afternoon and is weakening. Winds are down to 50 mph. Heavy rain and flooding continue across many locations in the mid-Atlantic to New Jersey.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 7/10/2020 11 AM
The 11 AM Advisory has Fay slightly stronger with winds at 60 mph. Heavy rain is soaking areas from The Maryland Eastern Shore northward to Long Island. The center of the storm is exposed due to entrainment of dry air, so most of the rain is on the north and west sides of the storm. Flooding is going to be a BIG problem for many of these areas, including the NYC Tri-State area where over 5" could fall. Tropical Storm Warnings have been extended to include portions of the Delaware Coast. The storm will move inland by later Friday then weaken as it moves into New England, still bringing a threat for heavy rainfall into a portion of the weekend.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 7/10/2020 5 AM
Tropical Storm Fay is slightly stronger as it heads north at 10mph just offshore of the Delmarva Peninsula. A northward to north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Fay is forecast to move near the mid-Atlantic coast today and move inland over the mid-Atlantic or the northeast United States late tonight or on Saturday. Reports from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today and tonight while the center remains over water. Weakening should begin after the center moves inland.
Fay is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain with some isolated areas seeing up to 7 inches along and near the track from the lower Maryland Eastern Shore and Delaware northward into New Jersey, eastern Pennsylvania, southeast New York, and southern New England. These rains may result in flash flooding where the heaviest amounts occur. Widespread river flooding is not expected at this time.
FOX 4 MORNING METEOROLOGIST TRENT ARIC
UPDATE 7/9/2020 11 PM
Tropical Storm Fay continues north just east of Norfolk VA with winds of 45 mph. Modest strengthening is possible as it approaches New Jersey by Friday but cooler water temps and upper-level wind shear should keep its intensity in check.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 7/9/2020 5 PM
Tropical Storm Fay has just formed off the NC Coast and will track north toward NY/NJ through Friday. The threat exists for locally heavy rainfall leading to flooding, gusty winds, isolated tornadoes and higher surf and coastal flooding along the Atlantic coast from VA north to Long Island.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 7/9/2020 3 PM
A tropical storm is likely to form off the east coast of the U.S near the N.C. Outer Banks or Virginia within the next 12- 24 hours. Hurricane hunters are investigating the storm Thursday afternoon to determine how far along in this development it is. Recon has detected tropical storm-force winds in the NE Quadrant of the storm. Right now the worst weather associated with this system is offshore over the Atlantic, with the western semicircle brushing the east coast of North Carolina. The low-pressure area is rather broad and elongated at the moment, meaning it hasn't quite gotten its act together just yet. The Hurricane Hunters will be looking for a closed-off area of low pressure to determine whether this has indeed occurred. The storm is expected to move north just off the coast of VA/MD/DE toward New Jersey by this weekend. Wind, rain, and higher tides can be expected along with a threat for minor coastal flooding. Any further strengthening will be determined by its proximity to the coast and if the center can stay over water long enough to make a difference. The next name on the list is Fay and we could have our next named storm soon. That would make it the earliest F named storm on record.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
