UPDATE 6/21/2021 11 PM
Claudette becomes a remant low pressure....last advisory issued by NHC.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/21/2021 5Pm
T.S. Claudette has strengthened to 45mph winds late this afterenoon & should continue moving ENE into Tuesday. It will eventually move into cooler water & should become post-tropical extratropical.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST CINDY PRESZLER
UPDATE 6/21/2021 11AM
As of 11am, Claudette is still maintaining max winds of 40mph so it continues to be designated as a tropical storm. It has moved over open water again & is expected to accelerate as it moves NE. Claudette may open up to a trough of low pressure but for now is forecast to remain a tropical storm into Tuesday. It will eventually weaken over cooler water.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST CINDY PRESZLER
UPDATE 6/21/2021 8 AM:
It looks like the biggest change with Tropical Storm Claudette is speed. The storm is moving toward the east-northeast near 28 mph which will help the Carolina Coast get some relief from the heavy doors associated with Claudette. An east-northeastward to northeastward motion with some increase in forwarding speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the system will cross into the western Atlantic Ocean later this morning, and pass just south of Nova Scotia on Tuesday.
FOX 4 FORECASTER LAUREN PETRELLI
UPDATE 6/21/2021 5 AM:
Claudette regained its strength as a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds near 40 mph. The system is moving east-northeast across the North Carolina coastline and is expected to cross into the Atlantic later this morning. The storm will continue to move through the Atlantic over the next several days before weakening to a post-tropical cyclone.
FOX 4 FORECASTER LAUREN PETRELLI
UPDATE 6/20/2021 11 PM:
Tropical Depression Claudette is a bit stronger than a few hours ago with maximum sustained wind of 35 mph. Its moving faster to the ENE at 20 mph. Its now located the southern portion of North Carolina and is expected to move offshore early Monday morning and become a tropical storm once again. Claudette will continue to bring rain to the Carolina's through early Monday before racing off toward the Canadian Maritime where it will pose no threat to the United States.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/20/2021 5 PM:
Tropical Depression Claudette has now moved into South Carolina. It continues to move to the ENE at 17 mph with maximum sustained wind of 30 mph. Flooding rains are still occuring in parts of Georgia and the Carolina's and will comtinue through this evening. Claudette will be back over open water Monday and with the warm Gulf Stream it should re-strengthen into a Tropical Storm before moving quickly toward the Canadian Maritime.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/20/2021 2 PM:
There hasn't been much change with Tropical Depression Claudette over the past several hours. The center of circulation is near Atlanta Georgia and its racing off to the ENE at 17 mph with maximum sustained wind of 30 mph. Flooding rains are still occuring in parts of Georgia and the Carolina's and will comtinue through this evening. Claudette will be back over open water Monday and with the warm Gulf Stream it should re-strengthen into a Tropical Storm before moving quickly toward the Canadian Maritime.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/19/2021 11 PM:
Claudette continues to hold on to tropical depression status as it continues to dump heavy rain in parts of Alabama, Georgia, and Florida's panhandle. Its moving to the northeast at 14 mph with maximum sustained wind of 30 mph. Rain and wind will continue in the southeast tonight and early Sunday before it moves over the Carolina's. It looks like conditions will be favorable for redevelopment into a tropical storm once it makes its way off the Carolina coast Monday. It will then pose no threat to the United States, but will bring heavy rain and wind to the Canadian Maritime Tuesday into Wednesday.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/19/2021 5 PM:
Claudette is now a tropical depression as it continues to dump heavy rain in parts of Alabama, Georgia, and Florida's panhandle. Its now moving to the northeast at 16 mph with maximum sustained wind of 35 mph. Rain and wind will continue in the southeast tonight and early Sunday before it moves over the Carolina's. It looks like conditions will be favorable for redevelopment into a tropical storm once it makes its way off the Carolina coast Monday. It will then pose no threat to the United States, but will bring heavy rain and wind to the Canadian Maritime Tuesday into Wednesday.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/19/2021 2 PM:
Tropical Storm Claudette is now located over southern Mississippi bringing heavy rain and wind to Mississippi, Louisiana, Alabama, and Florida's panhandle. Its moving NNE at 12 mph with maximum sustained wind of 40 mph. I expect by the 5 PM advisory that Claudette will be downgraded. Remnants will move toward the Carolina's Father's Day and eventually back out into the Atlantic where it could re-form into a tropical storm and move toward the Canadian Maritime.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/18/21 5 AM:
PTC 3 was finally designated Claudette this morning as of the 5 am advisory. The storm has been producing two significant bands of torrential rainfall and several tornado warnings through the night. Two nasty rain bands have set up across south Alabama this morning mainly over the Mobile area with a threat for significant flash flooding. Rainfall rates exceeding 4" per hour are occurring with these rain bands. Additionally, tornadic circulations moving in from the Gulf have prompted several tornado warnings in the area. This threat will continue through the day as Claudette moves farther inland.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/18/21 11 PM:
PTC 3 has not changed in structure. It is not a tropical storm yet. It may become one in the next few hours but time is running out for it. Hazards remain the same....big rains expected with it mainly east of the track.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/18/21 8 PM:
Potential Tropical Cyclone #3 is edging closer to the LA coast. Heavy rain is moving onshore and it is turning into a very wet night from New Orleans to Panama City. The threat for tornadoes will increase tonight as the center gets closer and wind shear profiles become more favorable. Areas of flooding will be possible with persistent heavier bands of rain. Minor coastal flooding can be expected as well.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/18/21 5PM:
Potential Tropical Storm 3 has not changed since earlier this afternoon. Max winds are still at 45mph but a little strengthening is still possible before it makes landfall sometime late tonight or early Saturday morning. It remains disorganized with WSW shear trying to push the storms to the east. Heavy rain & flooding will be the main threat for the northern Gulf coast. Direct impacts are not expected for SWFL.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST CINDY PRESZLER
UPDATE 6/18/2021 2 PM:
Hurricane hunters find PTC 3's winds stronger at 45 mph but is not officially a tropical storm yet. That could occur later today or tonight. Gusty winds and heavy rain are spreading onto the LA coast at this time, Conditions across the northern Gulf Coast frpm LA to the FL Panhandle will continue to deteriorate through the night.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/18/2021 11 AM:
PTC #3 hasnt changed since earlier this morning. Heavy rain is about to spread into areas of the northern Gulf Coast in the next few hours with a flooding risk. Isolated tornadoes will be possible east of where the center makes landfall, which is expected to be in southeast LA on Saturday morning.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/18/2021 8 AM:
Not much has changed in regards to PTC 3 over the past few hours. It continues to move northward at 14 mph. Heavy rain and gusty wind will arrive this evening along the Louisiana coast. The only impact here in SWFL will be extra cloud cover through early Saturday. The next complete advisory will be issued at 11 am.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/18/2021 5 AM:
PTC 3 has shown better organization over the past several hours, but there is still no well defined center of circulation. For this reason this system has not been upgraded to a tropical depression. This is expected to change later today. In fact, it appears as though this will become Tropical Storm Claudette today. Forecast models are in agreement with this system making landfall early Saturday just to the west of New Orleans. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for Intercoastal City, Louisiana and extend further to the east now to the Okaloosa/Walton County line in Florida. The biggest threat will be flooding with rainfall of 4-8 inches expected with some areas picking up 10 inches through Father's Day.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/17/2021 11 PM:
PTC is headed north toward the LA Gulf Coast. Arrival is expected Saturday morning as a weak tropical storm. Rain and wind are expected with the potential for flooding in some areas. Up to 10" of rain could occur with a threat for tornadoes north and east of the center as it tracks through the Deep South.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/17/2021 5 PM:
Potential tropical cyclone three is gotten better organized today and is expected to become a tropical depression soon and then strengthen in to Tropical Storm Claudette. Maximum sustained wind is now at 30 mph with gusts to 40 as it moves to the North at 9 mph. Tropical storm warnings have been issued from Intercoastal City, Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida border. 4 to 8 inches of rain and tropical storm force wind is expected in this region as well as storm surge of 1-3 feet. It looks like the only impact here in Southwest Florida will be more cloud cover through Saturday.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/17/2021 2 PM:
No major changes since this morning. Showers and storms continue to develop around a broad circulation in the Bay of Campeche. It will drift northward by Friday and potentially become a tropical depression by this weekend. This system still looks like a rainmaker with upwards of 8" possible in parts of the Deep South by the end of the weekend.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/15/2021 8 AM:
No major changes with the 8AM update as disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low pressure area. This system will move little today and tonight, and little if any development is expected during that time due to interaction with land. However, the broad disturbance should begin to move northward tomorrow, and a tropical depression is likely to form late tomorrow or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of Mexico.
Regardless of whether a tropical depression or storms forms in the days ahead, heavy rainfall and flooding is likely to impact a large area of the Gulf coast of Louisiana and Texas as we head into Father's Day weekend.
FOX 4 MORNING METEOROLOGIST TRENT ARIC
UPDATE 6/15/2021 2 AM:
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor a broad area low pressure in the Bay of Campeche giving it a high chance, at 90%, of developing in the next 5 days.
This system is expected to move little during the next day or two, and any development should be slow to occur during that time period.
However, the disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form late in the week when the low moves across the central or northwestern Gulf of Mexico
FOX 4 MORNING METEOROLOGIST TRENT ARIC
UPDATE 6/15/2021 5 PM:
Invest 92L remains stationary in the Bay of Campeche. The system is expected to slowly organize later this week and could become a tropical depression by this weekend. Locally heavy rainfall and flooding will be the biggest issue with this storm as it moves north, with areas from Louisiana to northwest Florida likely to be impacted. Over 5" of rainfall in some areas is possible.
The storm is expected to stay well west of our area and impacts here will be slim to none.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/15/2021 8 AM:
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor a broad area low pressure in the Bay of Campeche giving it a high chance, at 70%, of developing in the next 5 days.
This system is expected to move little during the next day or two, and any development should be slow to occur during that time period.
However, the disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form late in the week when the low moves across the central or northwestern Gulf of Mexico
FOX 4 MORNING METEOROLOGIST TRENT ARIC
UPDATE 6/14/2021 2 PM:
NHC now gives the area of disturbed weather in the Gulf a HIGH chance for development into a tropical depression later this week. It will be headed toward the northern Gulf coast with a heavy rain threat heading into Father's Day weekend. Flooding is going to become a big concern with this system as the areas where its headed have already seen several inches of rainfall in recent days.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/13/2021 8 PM:
Invest 92L has become slightly better organized since this morning, but there remains a low chance for development over the next couple days. Both EURO and GFS models have this system developing into a tropical depression later in the week as it slowly moves northward. EURO has a weaker storm hitting the Texas coast while GFS has this a bit stronger making landfall just west of New Orleans on Father's Day. Flooding rain appears to be the big concern with this system heading into next weekend. It doesn't look like there will be much impact here in SWFL besides extra cloud cover. This system could pull moisture away from our area Friday into next weekend.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/13/2021 8 AM:
NHC continues to increase the chances for development for Invest 92L, now up to 50% in 5 days. The system is expected to remain stationary for the near-term with long-range forecast models forecasting a northward movement in the coming days toward the northern Gulf Coast. The GFS American, Canadian and NAVGEM models are pointing toward development into a tropical storm as it heads toward Louisiana by Father's Day weekend. The Euro model is forecasting a weak system drifting north toward Louisiana.
This looks like a potentially big rain-maker for an already soaked Deep South and flooding is going to be a big concern with this storm later in the week as moisture gets pulled north. It appears that it will stay far enough away from our area that we won't see any major impacts.
FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY
UPDATE 6/12/2021 8 PM:
Shower activity associated with a trough of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche has a 40% chance of development over the next 5 days. Right now there isn't much movement with this system, but it is expected to move northward in the coming days. Slow development is possible with this system and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week.
FOX 4 METEOROLOGIST ERIC STONE
UPDATE 6/11/2021 8 AM:
A trough of low pressure is expected to form early next week over the Bay of Campeche and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Slow development of this system is possible as it drifts northwestward. The National Hurricane Center is giving this area a 20 percent chance of developing in the next 5 days.
FOX 4 FORECASTER LAUREN PETRELLI
